Union Neumünster vs Hohenwestedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
4º
4º
18
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 48.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 4
UNI
16%
17%
67%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
HEI
58%
20%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
0 - 4
UNI
17%
18%
66%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 0
SVE
81%
11%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 3
UNI
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HOH
3 - 1
PRR
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 2
HOH
67%
17%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HOH
0 - 6
EIC
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 2
HOH
79%
12%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 3
DOR
50%
21%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |