Union Neumünster vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
4º
27
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WEF
1 - 3
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
KIL
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
FLE
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
ITK
3 - 3
UNI
34%
22%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 0
LUB
65%
17%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 5
OLD
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BOR
4 - 1
DOR
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
GWS
47%
20%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TOD
3 - 1
DOR
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
DOR
6 - 2
FRI
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |