Union Mertert vs US Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 0
UME
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
UME
3 - 0
BBM
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ERP
0 - 2
UME
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RUM
2 - 1
UME
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UME
0 - 1
WIL
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 0
JEU
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
JEU
2 - 1
ESC
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 3
USM
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
F91
4 - 0
ESC
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 3
DIF
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |