Union Mertert vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UME
0 - 4
RUM
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UME
2 - 1
USS
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MAM
1 - 1
UME
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UME
1 - 2
KAE
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ETZ
7 - 0
UME
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ERP
2 - 1
GRE
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ERP
5 - 1
UKT
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UKT
1 - 2
ERP
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
4 - 0
ERP
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ERP
3 - 0
FFN
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |