Unión Mar del Plata vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
UNI
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALV
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
DFR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
LIB
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
IND
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 2
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
TFE
24%
26%
51%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 0
IND
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |