Unión Mar del Plata vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 1
UNI
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSA
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
TAL
34%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 1
UNI
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
SPB
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CSE
2 - 0
GAF
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -3 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 2
INS
27%
27%
45%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 0
GAF
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
GAF
3 - 1
DHA
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |