Unión Mar del Plata vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 1
UNI
21%
24%
56%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
TAL
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
TFE
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
FER
0 - 2
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
TAL
4 - 0
FER
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 4
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
TFE
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 1
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |