Unión Mar del Plata vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
TAL
34%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 1
UNI
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
TAL
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
TFE
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ATT
4 - 1
RSA
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 0
SPB
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
RSA
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 2
SAR
38%
28%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
HUR
3 - 0
RSA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |