Unión Mar del Plata vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
UNI
24%
25%
52%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 4
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 2
LIB
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
CIP
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALV
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DFR
1 - 3
LIB
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
DFR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 4
CSE
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CSE
1 - 2
DFR
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |