Unión Mar del Plata vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CIP
0 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
DES
1 - 2
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
GIM
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RAO
4 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 1
DES
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
GIM
2 - 0
DFR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
0 - 2
RAO
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 5
DFR
46%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 1
JUU
40%
28%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |