Unión Mar del Plata vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 2
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 0
UNI
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
JUU
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 1
CIP
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 2
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RAO
4 - 3
DES
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
DES
5 - 1
RIV
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
JUU
1 - 1
DES
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |