Unión Magdalena vs Sucre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 4
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
4 - 2
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
PER
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
UNI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
PER
1 - 2
SFC
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 0
ENV
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 3
SFC
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |