Unión Magdalena vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
2º
20
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
REA
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
CUC
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 2
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 1
LLA
24%
28%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 2
RSC
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
RSC
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 0
TFC
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
RSC
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |