Unión Magdalena vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
5º
1º
9
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 32 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 29 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 28 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 28 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 23 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 22 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 22 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 21 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 19 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 19 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 14 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
CUC
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 2
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
REA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
QUI
29%
29%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
REA
44%
27%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
REA
0 - 1
RSC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |