Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 1
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAS
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
TFC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
QUI
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 0
CAR
28%
28%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |