Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BOG
2 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 3
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
RIO
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 0
UNI
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 1
UNI
58%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
RSC
59%
21%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
PER
0 - 3
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
RSC
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
CAR
36%
28%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |