Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
AME
4 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
LLA
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 0
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |