Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RSC
0 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CEN
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
TFC
3 - 1
UNI
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAL
29%
26%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
JUN
30%
27%
42%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |