Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
COR
5 - 1
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 3
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAS
3 - 0
UNI
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 2
BUC
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |