Unión Magdalena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 1
UNI
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
QUI
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
PAT
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
ORS
42%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
UNI
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
RSC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 0
FOR
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAT
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |