Unión Magdalena vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
5º
3º
10
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 31 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 30 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 27 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 22 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 16 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
99% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 2
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
BOG
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
0 - 1
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 1
CUC
21%
28%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
2 - 1
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
CUC
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CUC
2 - 0
AFC
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |