Unión Magdalena vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 0
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 1
UNI
51%
28%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
UNI
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
PAS
14%
25%
62%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
ALI
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |