UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Union Luxembourg vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
60%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
SUT
3 - 0
ULU
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
ULU
0 - 0
BRI
23%
23%
53%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
BRI
2 - 0
ULU
79%
14%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
VAS
4 - 0
ULU
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
ULU
1 - 3
VAS
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
SUT
3 - 0
ULU
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SME
1 - 1
SUT
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
SUT
1 - 0
ZEL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ČUK
2 - 1
SUT
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
SUT
2 - 1
RAD
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |