Qualif. Champions Semi-finals
Global 1-9
Union Luxembourg vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.4%
Win probability
0.18
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
<0%
+1
3.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
20.1%
76.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
26%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.2%
-1
30.1%
0-2
22.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
24.5%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
0.3%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
MAR
5 - 0
ULU
95%
4%
1%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
ULU
0 - 5
MAR
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
SGD
3 - 0
ULU
95%
4%
1%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
ULU
1 - 3
SGD
3%
13%
84%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1989 |
DJU
5 - 0
ULU
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
TIR
3 - 1
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
FCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
24%
30%
46%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1992 |
FCP
1 - 0
EST
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |