Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-5
Union Luxembourg vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
50.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
BOT
4 - 0
ULU
86%
9%
6%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1978 |
ULU
1 - 0
BOG
34%
22%
45%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +10 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
BOG
4 - 1
ULU
74%
14%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
MAR
7 - 1
ULU
85%
10%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1973 |
ULU
0 - 5
MAR
20%
19%
60%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
BOT
4 - 0
ULU
86%
9%
6%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
BOT
1 - 3
BVR
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
SVA
0 - 2
BOT
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
BOT
8 - 0
CHB
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
OFK
1 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |