Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 0-17
Union Luxembourg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
MUN
6 - 0
ULU
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
ULU
0 - 4
MUN
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ULU
2 - 3
HSV
25%
18%
57%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
HSV
4 - 0
ULU
79%
11%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
ULU
0 - 6
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
MSV
2 - 3
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
KOL
3 - 1
STU
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
KAI
3 - 2
KOL
26%
24%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1965 |
KOL
0 - 1
HAN
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1965 |
BVB
2 - 2
KOL
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |