Union Innsbruck vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
RBJ
12%
19%
68%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 3
UNI
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FCW
5 - 0
UNI
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SVA
4 - 1
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
TSV
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 5
ALT
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 1
SCA
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 0
GRO
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SCA
1 - 1
SKN
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
LUS
3 - 1
SCA
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |