Union Innsbruck vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
FUG
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
MAT
53%
21%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KIT
2 - 2
UNI
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
VOL
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
REI
1 - 1
UNI
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
KIR
9 - 0
SVK
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
REU
1 - 2
KIR
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KIR
3 - 1
MOT
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
KIR
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KIR
5 - 2
SVI
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |