Union Innsbruck vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
KUF
11%
16%
74%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ANI
6 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SVA
1 - 0
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 3
FCH
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TSV
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
GMU
0 - 2
GRI
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
GRI
3 - 1
USD
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 6
GRI
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
GRI
5 - 2
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 1
GRI
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |