Union Huaral vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
UNI
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 3
UNI
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
HUA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 3
VAL
12%
21%
67%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
8 - 1
WIL
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 3
AGP
21%
25%
55%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIE
9 - 1
WIL
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 6
SRP
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |