Union Huaral vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 3
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SBO
2 - 3
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
TAR
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
LOS
57%
24%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 0
TAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
WIL
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 3
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 2
LOS
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SBO
0 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |