Union Huaral vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAN
41%
25%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
UNI
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
UNI
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
4 - 1
MAN
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
WIL
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
WIL
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |