Union Huaral vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1977 |
POR
2 - 0
UNI
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1977 |
UNI
1 - 1
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
UNI
1 - 0
SBO
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 2
MWA
58%
21%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1977 |
SBO
1 - 3
EST
56%
21%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
63%
19%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |