UFC Hallein vs Thalgau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
3º
34
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 2
UNI
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 1
SKA
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 1
ANI
51%
20%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
STR
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
UNI
33%
23%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
UFV
2 - 3
ANI
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
UFV
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UFV
2 - 0
BRA
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UFV
2 - 1
SAL
42%
22%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 4
UFV
43%
22%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |