UFC Hallein vs Puch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
3º
39
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 3
UNI
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
USC
39%
22%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEE
1 - 1
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 4
KUC
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UFV
5 - 1
UNI
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PUC
3 - 0
ANI
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
PUC
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PUC
2 - 2
BRA
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
PUC
75%
14%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PUC
1 - 2
SIE
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |