UFC Hallein vs Berndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
STR
1 - 1
UNI
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
BER
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 3
UNI
55%
21%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 4
ZEL
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 1
UNI
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Berndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
BER
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ZEL
1 - 1
BER
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BER
2 - 0
HAL
28%
22%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
KUC
2 - 0
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
WAL
3 - 1
BER
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |