Union Fürstenwalde vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
16º
16º
37
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
7 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
TUM
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
4 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SCS
4 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
MAH
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
LIC
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 0
TAS
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 1
OPT
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
4 - 3
DSC
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 0
BSC
78%
13%
8%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | +1 |