Union Fürstenwalde vs Dynamo Schwerin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
16º
16º
28
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TAS
2 - 2
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 4
HZE
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TUM
4 - 0
UNI
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 2
NEU
52%
22%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
BWP
73%
16%
12%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DSC
0 - 5
LIC
16%
17%
68%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ANK
2 - 1
DSC
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
DSC
8%
14%
78%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 3
POM
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 3
RSV
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |