Union Fürstenwalde vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
82.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
16º
16º
70
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ANK
6 - 0
UNI
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
OPT
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DSC
3 - 1
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
TAS
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
7 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LIC
3 - 0
SVS
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
ANK
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
LIC
10%
17%
74%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 0
DSC
80%
12%
7%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
LIC
12%
18%
70%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |