Unión Estepona vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
EST
3 - 0
CAR
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
3 - 2
EST
23%
26%
52%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RON
1 - 0
EST
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 0
EST
13%
22%
65%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
MOT
3 - 0
VIC
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NER
1 - 0
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
4 - 1
ARE
57%
24%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 2
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |