Unión Estepona vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
EST
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
EST
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARE
3 - 0
VIC
59%
24%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NER
3 - 1
ARE
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 0
ARE
77%
16%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARE
0 - 0
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
ARE
63%
23%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |