Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Unión Española vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1994 |
CRZ
0 - 0
UNI
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
NAC
0 - 1
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
COL
3 - 1
UNI
66%
18%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1994 |
SAO
2 - 1
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
SAO
3 - 1
BOT
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
SAO
3 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |