Unión Española vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
51%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATM
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAL
63%
18%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAO
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 1
SAO
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
SAO
3 - 0
OPE
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRE
53%
26%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |