Copa Chile Last 16
Global 3-3
Unión Española vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NUB
3 - 1
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
COB
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SWA
1 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
ANT
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
COQ
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DCO
2 - 3
SAN
33%
27%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 1
CSD
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
CUR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |