Copa Chile 1/16
Global 6-0
Unión Española vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
ULC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
COQ
2 - 4
UNI
27%
27%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
ANT
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
OHI
2 - 2
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
CSL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 4
OVA
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
OVA
1 - 4
ACC
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OVA
3 - 0
MSA
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DUC
0 - 2
OVA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
OVA
4 - 1
QUI
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |