Unión Española vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
16º
5º
28
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
71.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DCO
2 - 3
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EVE
3 - 2
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
2 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NUB
0 - 0
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
COB
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OHI
1 - 1
COQ
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 0
OHI
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
OHI
1 - 1
ULC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IQU
1 - 3
OHI
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OHI
0 - 4
UCH
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |