Unión Española vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
UNI
0 - 0
PEÑ
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAL
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1975 |
IND
2 - 0
UNI
75%
14%
10%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
IND
3 - 1
UNI
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1975 |
UNI
1 - 0
IND
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1974 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
CCP
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |