Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-2
Unión Española vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
HUA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UCH
1 - 2
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAL
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 2
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 3
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 2
IVT
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 1
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 0
MUS
62%
21%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
CUE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |