Unión Española vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
ACS
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
EVE
1 - 0
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
UCH
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
NUB
0 - 1
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 1
UCH
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ULC
2 - 1
MAG
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 1
NUB
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MAG
3 - 0
DSC
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
OHI
1 - 2
MAG
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |