Copa Chile Last 16
Global 2-0
Unión Española vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MAG
0 - 1
UNI
16%
21%
64%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 3
PUE
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 2
UNI
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
ANT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 2
UNI
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MAG
0 - 1
UNI
16%
21%
64%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
ACS
3 - 0
MAG
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
MAG
4 - 0
ACS
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 1
MAG
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 2
COB
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |